Will Elizabeth Warren say “Election”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Election” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 14, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Elizabeth Warren
Election
- Probability
- 56% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Elizabeth Warren say “Election”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Election” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Elizabeth Warren says “Election” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Elizabeth Warren: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/elizabeth-warren/words/election (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP