Will Elizabeth Warren say “Billionaire”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Billionaire” at 5 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (62%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 14, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

45%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=billionaire

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Elizabeth Warren

Billionaire

Probability
45% · n=8
Settled
5/8 (62%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Elizabeth Warren say during All In with Chris Hayes? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Elizabeth Warrenguest34:45In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every match in the transcript

What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Elizabeth Warren say during All in with Chris Hayes? · settled no

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during the CAP IDEAS Conference? · settled no

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled no

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during Kevin Warsh's Confirmation Hearing? · settled yes

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 14, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes1
Jun 24, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes–
Jun 22, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
May 19, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
May 19, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes–
Apr 21, 2026BillionaireKalshiNo–
Apr 21, 2026BillionaireKalshiYes–
Nov 21, 2025BillionaireKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Elizabeth Warren say “Billionaire”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Elizabeth Warren said “Billionaire” at 5 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 21, 2025 (62%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026.
What is the probability Elizabeth Warren says “Billionaire” next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Elizabeth Warren: ‘Billionaire’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/elizabeth-warren/words/billionaire (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=billionaire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=elizabeth-warren&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP