Chris Wright: Hearing, May 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Chris Wright say during his hearing on the Nuclear Security Program?
Markets
14 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 70%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 70%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 70%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Russia | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Electric / Electricity / EV | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| California | No | 70%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Domestic | No | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epic Fury | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Escort / Escorted / Escorting | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Inflation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Venezuela | No | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAY13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP