Will Abigail Spanberger say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Abigail Spanberger said “Trump” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Abigail Spanberger
Trump
- Probability
- 33% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Abigail Spanberger yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Abigail Spanberger say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Abigail Spanberger said “Trump” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Abigail Spanberger says “Trump” next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Abigail Spanberger: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abigail-spanberger/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP