Abigail Spanberger: Remarks, Aug 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Abigail Spanberger say during March on Washington?
Markets
13 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Medicaid / SNAP | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Martin Luther King / MLK | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / Border | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXGOVERNORMENTION-26AUG28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP