Will Abigail Spanberger say “Republican”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Abigail Spanberger said “Republican” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

33%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=republican

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Abigail Spanberger

Republican

Probability
33% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Abigail Spanberger yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Abigail Spanberger say during March on Washington? · settled no

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What will Abigail Spanberger say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

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What will Abigail Spanberger say during the SOTU Democratic response? · not listed

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Mention: Abigail Spanberger on The Last Word · settled no

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What will Abigail Spanberger say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 28, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Jun 12, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Feb 6, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Jan 13, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Abigail Spanberger say “Republican”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Abigail Spanberger said “Republican” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026.
What is the probability Abigail Spanberger says “Republican” next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Abigail Spanberger: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abigail-spanberger/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP