Will Abigail Spanberger say “Corrupt / Corruption”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Abigail Spanberger said “Corrupt / Corruption” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

39%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Abigail Spanberger

Corrupt / Corruption

Probability
39% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Abigail Spanberger yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Abigail Spanberger say during March on Washington? · settled no

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What will Abigail Spanberger say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · settled yes

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What will Abigail Spanberger say during the SOTU Democratic response? · settled yes

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Mention: Abigail Spanberger on The Last Word · not listed

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What will Abigail Spanberger say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 28, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo
Jun 12, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Feb 25, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Abigail Spanberger say “Corrupt / Corruption”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Abigail Spanberger said “Corrupt / Corruption” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 25, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 12, 2026.
What is the probability Abigail Spanberger says “Corrupt / Corruption” next time?
39%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Abigail Spanberger: ‘Corrupt / Corruption’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abigail-spanberger/words/corrupt-or-corruption (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP