What is the probability Abigail Spanberger says “Chaos” next time?

56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Abigail Spanberger say “Chaos”?

Name: Abigail Spanberger: “Chaos” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Abigail Spanberger said “Chaos” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 25, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 19:13 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Abigail Spanberger

Chaos

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Abigail Spanberger yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Abigail Spanberger say during March on Washington? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Abigail Spanberger say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Abigail Spanberger say during the SOTU Democratic response? · settled yes

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Mention: Abigail Spanberger on The Last Word · not listed

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What will Abigail Spanberger say during The Late Show with Stephen Colbert? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Feb 25, 2026	Chaos	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Abigail Spanberger say “Chaos”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Abigail Spanberger said “Chaos” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 25, 2026.
What is the probability Abigail Spanberger says “Chaos” next time?: 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Abigail Spanberger: ‘Chaos’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/abigail-spanberger/words/chao (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=chao · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=abigail-spanberger&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP