Will “Simulation” be said on The Joe Rogan Experience next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Simulation” was said on The Joe Rogan Experience in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.

36%from settlement history only · n=4counts: anyone
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Joe Rogan Experience

Simulation

Probability
36% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledThe Joe Rogan Experience (Spotify), September 27, 2026 · Sep 27, 2026 · 2:17:19In transcript

…savant. You know, I know my lane. But I expect you could run simulations on let's give this agentic AI system a specific moral core.

Speaker not labelledThe Joe Rogan Experience (Spotify), September 20, 2026 · Sep 20, 2026 · 2:35:49In transcript

…spend a significant amount of money on compute now running data sets, simulations, doing more experiments before doing the actual experiments, which is hopefully it…

Speaker not labelledThe Joe Rogan Experience (Spotify), August 30, 2026 · Aug 30, 2026 · 7:54In transcript

…knowledge or I'm a guy with you know fill in the blanks simulation theory knowledge or like whatever it is it's like they've they're not…

What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (October 12) · not listed

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (October 5) · not listed

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (September 28) · not listed

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (September 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (September 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (September 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (August 31) · not listed

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (August 24) · not listed

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (August 17) · not listed

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What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (August 10) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 3, 2026SimulationPolymarketNo
Apr 26, 2026SimulationPolymarketYes
Apr 12, 2026SimulationPolymarketNo
Apr 5, 2026SimulationPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Simulation” said on The Joe Rogan Experience?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Simulation” was said on The Joe Rogan Experience in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 5, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Simulation” is said on The Joe Rogan Experience next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Joe Rogan Experience: ‘Simulation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/the-joe-rogan-experience/words/simulation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-joe-rogan-experience&word=simulation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-joe-rogan-experience&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP