Will “Conspiracy” be said on The Joe Rogan Experience next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Conspiracy” was said on The Joe Rogan Experience in 3 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 30, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Joe Rogan Experience
Conspiracy
- Probability
- 45% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Although the Hendricks ones, very weird. There's a lot of very interesting conspiracy theories about the Hendricks murder, or the Hendricks death, rather, that it…
So I think that's what the real conspiracy theories, I don't know if they're true. You think he probably just had an aneurysm or whatever…
…appearances, Jackie O was like what he needed and there's all these conspiracies that she was then murdered by high up forces. Yes, I mean,…
People are making up conspiracies that it was actually the husband. That's how badly they want her to not be responsible, even though she's already…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Conspiracy |  Polymarket | No |
| May 24, 2026 | Conspiracy | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Conspiracy | Polymarket | No |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Conspiracy | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Conspiracy | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Conspiracy |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Conspiracy” said on The Joe Rogan Experience?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Conspiracy” was said on The Joe Rogan Experience in 3 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 3, 2026.
- What is the probability “Conspiracy” is said on The Joe Rogan Experience next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Joe Rogan Experience: ‘Conspiracy’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/the-joe-rogan-experience/words/conspiracy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-joe-rogan-experience&word=conspiracy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-joe-rogan-experience&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP