The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, Jan 18, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (January 18)
Markets
18 words · 9 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conspiracy | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drug | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Alien | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Woke | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Diet | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jamie 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Recession | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sauna | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Space | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weed | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-january-18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP