The Joe Rogan Experience: Episode, May 24, 2026
Polymarket What will be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (May 18)
Markets
18 words · 10 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Table | Yes | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| People 111+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Understand | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fuck / Fucking 20+ times | Yes | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gold / Golden | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scam | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Algorithm | Yes | 42%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Laptop | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mickey Mouse | Yes | 19%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Dude 10+ times | No | 63%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Conspiracy | No | 56%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Microsoft | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Amsterdam | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hantavirus | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Plastic | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hegemony | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pyramid | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-on-the-first-joe-rogan-experience-episode-of-the-week-may-18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP