Will “Winter” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Winter” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 9, 2026.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Winter
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…So it kinda started with the Olympics in 2002. We hosted the Winter Olympic Games. Mhmm. And I think people kinda got exposure to Utah.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
David Winter says, way better ad read. You did not sound like a bot that time. It's all about the inflections and emphasis. Alright. So…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…excuse for... Mean, you go to Detroit, you got frosties, and it's winter. Okay. Understandable.: Yeah.: It's a beautiful day every day, except for that…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Winter |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Winter” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Winter” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Winter” is said on TBPN next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Winter’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/winter (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=winter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP