Will “Trump” be said 2+ times on TBPN next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was not said 2+ times on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

TBPN

Trump 2+ times

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker 1otherTBPN Podcast, October 23, 2026: Moderna Drama, WSJ Mansion Section, Genetically Engineered Military Dogs | Thomas Wright, Kyle Schiller, Steven Schwartz · Oct 23, 2026 · 13:50In transcript

Oh, let's do some timeline first. Okay. See. Sure. President Trump says Sundar over at Google, talked him out of renaming the Atlantic Ocean.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Speaker 3otherTBPN Podcast, October 20, 2026: $1M Trading Cards Heist, Trevor Milton Returns, The Death Of Common Courtesy | Diet TBPN · Oct 20, 2026 · 23:37In transcript

…I bet you wish you were you were on TV now with Trump. I go, no. Because I don't like Trump. I can't stand the…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Speaker 1otherTBPN Podcast, October 19, 2026: "You Can See Everything" Sparks Debate, 17% GDP Growth Please, Call of Duty Campaign Review | Katie Drummond, Bing Gordon, Daksh Gupta, Jean · Oct 19, 2026 · 37:45In transcript

…from... We talked about this a little bit. That was reported from Trump Sankar. And has not been widely confirmed beyond his anecdote that he…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Speaker 2otherTBPN Podcast, October 16, 2026: Inflation Heats Up, Anthropic Investor Day, Tesla Roadster Mania| Diet TBPN · Oct 16, 2026 · 0:40In transcript

…she should've hit him with the why questions are overdetermined. That would've been the trump card that just ate Got him. Yeah. He would've been

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Dec 4, 2025Trump 2+ timesPolymarketNo0

Questions

How often is “Trump 2+ times” said on TBPN?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was not said 2+ times on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
What is the probability “Trump 2+ times” is said on TBPN next time?
20%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Trump 2+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/trump-2plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=trump%20%282%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP