Will “Tariff” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tariff” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Tariff
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…stop progress. Sure. You know, this... That's the stupid thing with these tariffs. Yeah. You know, the the great thing about America was you could…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…down 4.7% for the week. If the tech heavy benchmark finishes down more than 4.68%, it will be the worst week since the tariff meltdown.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Tariff |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Tariff” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Tariff” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025.
- What is the probability “Tariff” is said on TBPN next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP