Will “TSMC / Taiwan” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “TSMC / Taiwan” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
TSMC / Taiwan
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | TSMC / Taiwan |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “TSMC / Taiwan” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “TSMC / Taiwan” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “TSMC / Taiwan” is said on TBPN next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘TSMC / Taiwan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/taiwan-or-tsmc (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=taiwan%20%2F%20tsmc · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP