Will “Social Media” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Social Media” was said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 24, 2026.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Social Media
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted.
…the Internet, and mobile devices, and open source versus closed source, and social media, now AI. You know, look, this AI thing is no joke.…
…of the reasons we're not going to see unlimited television commercials and social media content that's just pure AI from the biggest companies in the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Social Media |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often is “Social Media” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Social Media” was said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 24, 2026.
- What is the probability “Social Media” is said on TBPN next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Social Media’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/social-media (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=social%20media · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP