Will “Recession” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Recession” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Recession
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…And I think we saw the really steady growth through the great recession, but COVID really changed Utah. Okay. And the reason it changed it…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…I'm personally rooting for it. Also, do you think this is a recession indicator? The fact that startup launches are starting to do paid partnerships…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Recession |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Recession” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Recession” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 4, 2025.
- What is the probability “Recession” is said on TBPN next time?
- 20%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP