Will “OpenAI” be said 5+ times on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “OpenAI” was not said 5+ times on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 10, 2025.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
OpenAI 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Calif, uncovered the flaws with help from GBD 5.6 Soul, one of OpenAI's most advanced models from a couple months ago. During an audit of…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…our engineering effort, right? And we we actually did some work with OpenAI on this. I mean Mhmm. And it's interesting when you're designing a…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…the anti YouTube, alliance or the anti Netflix alliance or the anti OpenAI alliance was a thing. And the anti anthropic alliance, like, comes together.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…but I mean pretty huge news in the world of corporate espionage. OpenAI caught someone planting a bugging device by having a hidden camera behind…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | OpenAI 5+ times |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “OpenAI 5+ times” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “OpenAI” was not said 5+ times on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 10, 2025.
- What is the probability “OpenAI 5+ times” is said on TBPN next time?
- 20%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘OpenAI 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/openai-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=openai%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP