Will “Open Source” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Open Source” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 10, 2026.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Open Source
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…we were yelled at for doing so, regulatory capture, marketing hype, doomer anxiety, fear mongering about open source. Why don't you talk about the benefits?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and other audits, part of an effort by AI companies to help open source projects address software vulnerabilities now being uncovered by AI systems. The…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…this big problem, and one of the pro solutions was like, ban open source, do all this crazy stuff, slow down. And David Sachs didn't…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Open Source |  Kalshi | No | 2 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How often is “Open Source” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Open Source” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Open Source” is said on TBPN next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Open Source’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/open-source (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=open%20source · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP