Will “Nuclear” be said on TBPN next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 29, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

TBPN

Nuclear

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker 5otherTBPN Podcast, October 23, 2026: Moderna Drama, WSJ Mansion Section, Genetically Engineered Military Dogs | Thomas Wright, Kyle Schiller, Steven Schwartz · Oct 23, 2026 · 1:20:31In transcript

Yeah. Well, I I love that you have this perspective because nuclear physics is a matter of many many ooms. Yes. Is largely counterintuitive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 29, 2026NuclearKalshiNo0

Questions

How often is “Nuclear” said on TBPN?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 29, 2026.
What is the probability “Nuclear” is said on TBPN next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP