Will “Nicotine” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nicotine” was said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 13, 2026.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Nicotine
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I've seen a lot of, like, pouch holders, different different ways to hold your your nicotine pouches, your nicotine gum. But in the watch is...
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Nicotine |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Nicotine” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nicotine” was said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Nicotine” is said on TBPN next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Nicotine’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/nicotine (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=nicotine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP