Will “Iran” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 19, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Iran
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted.
…of that, everybody's got a different perspective on what's going on in Iran and what's happening around the world. And to me, that's scary. Right?…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Iran |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Iran” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Iran” was said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran” is said on TBPN next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP