Will “Fraud” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fraud” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 9, 2026.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Fraud
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Like, put aside the fraud, like it just seems like like total slop in terms of the execution of that business and gives me absolutely…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…of of the of the of the distilled tokens, which is pretty crazy that that you can be at that scale of of essentially fraud.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
I appreciate that. We... I mean, feels like a fraud coming on a tech show working at a grocery store. But it's all built in…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Fraud |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Fraud” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fraud” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Fraud” is said on TBPN next time?
- 32%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP