Will “Claude / Gemini / Grok” be said on TBPN next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Claude / Gemini / Grok” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 10, 2025.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
TBPN
Claude / Gemini / Grok
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…hit, worth $11,000,000. This was his dream. After the dream, he asked Claude what it would take for Moderna to actually reach $275. That's when…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…mean, or at some point, like, use that compute internally for for Grok models. Right? This is kind of also like the the meta maybe…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…which is what I worry about. I don't mind. I can use Claude, fine. But when I start using agents that try to do things…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…we... You pay us a fee and we go and we inference Claude or we inference GPT six or whatever. And then that goes into…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…in a period of convergence or divergence in the sense of like, Claude Code and Codex have been sort of like looking more and more…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Claude / Gemini / Grok |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Claude / Gemini / Grok” said on TBPN?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Claude / Gemini / Grok” was not said on TBPN in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 10, 2025.
- What is the probability “Claude / Gemini / Grok” is said on TBPN next time?
- 20%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “TBPN: ‘Claude / Gemini / Grok’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/tbpn/words/claude-or-gemini-or-grok (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tbpn&word=claude%20%2F%20gemini%20%2F%20grok · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tbpn&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP