Will Nick Shirley say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Nick Shirley said “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 20, 2026 (40%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

46%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=nick-shirley&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Nick Shirley

Somali / Somalia / Somalian

Probability
46% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Nick Shirley yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Nick Shirley say during NewsMax: Finnerty? · settled no

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What will Nick Shirley say during his CPAC speech? · settled no

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What will Nick Shirley say during his Fox News interview? · settled no

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Mention: Nick Shirley on Fox News: Gutfeld! · settled yes

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What will Nick Shirley say during his NewsNation interview? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 17, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo
Mar 26, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo
Mar 20, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiNo
Mar 10, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiYes
Jan 20, 2026Somali / Somalia / SomalianKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Nick Shirley say “Somali / Somalia / Somalian”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Nick Shirley said “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 20, 2026 (40%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
What is the probability Nick Shirley says “Somali / Somalia / Somalian” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Nick Shirley: ‘Somali / Somalia / Somalian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/nick-shirley/words/somali-or-somalia-or-somalian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nick-shirley&word=somali%20%2F%20somalia%20%2F%20somalian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nick-shirley&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP