Nick Shirley: Interview, Jan 20, 2026
Kalshi What will Nick Shirley say during his NewsNation interview?
Markets
12 words · 3 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Learing | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walz / Governor | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| California | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat / Left | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE / National Guard | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Justify / Justified | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mormon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Race / Racist / Racism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| YouTube | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSHIRLEYMENTION-26JAN20 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP