Will Nick Shirley say “Biden”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Nick Shirley said “Biden” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (33%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
40%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Nick Shirley
Biden
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Nick Shirley yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Nick Shirley say “Biden”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Nick Shirley said “Biden” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (33%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Nick Shirley says “Biden” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Nick Shirley: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/nick-shirley/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nick-shirley&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nick-shirley&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP