Will “Scam” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Scam” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Scam
- Probability
- 40% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…said yeah this doesn't this is this is clearly some sort of scam but then in mid-June a superior court judge in Alaska added him…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Scam” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Scam” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (25%), most recently on May 6, 2026.
- What is the probability “Scam” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Scam’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/scam (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=scam · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP