As of Oct 24, 2026, “Gold” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
40%from settlement history only · n=4counts: anyone
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 1:23:58In transcript
…point of like, okay, there may be improving previous algorithms. They got gold medals at the international math Olympiad, which is like a math competition…
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 1:57In transcript
we were like don't worry we print this it's gold so i do uh i feel bad about that one clip going viral but it…
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 9, 2026 · Sep 9, 2026 · 22:24In transcript
…reminds me of when, you remember MoviePass? Yeah. MoviePass was insane. That's the gold standard. of like we're just going to burn money on things.
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Gold” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
What is the probability “Gold” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Citeparrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Gold’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/gold (CC BY 4.0)
Polymarket