Will “China / Chinese” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on Lemonade Stand in 16 of 17 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (94%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 88% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 7.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
China / Chinese
- Probability
- 88% · n=17
- Settled
- 16/17 (94%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
So for example, BlackRock, Neurotech, uh, NeoCyber is a Chinese state one. That's doing similar things. Synchron is a New York, uh, city based American…
Counts: anyone
1 counted.
…other side they ship transfer to a larger tanker that's insured and goes on to china or wherever and like this policy along with the
Counts: anyone
45 counted.
…have been told is that a long time ago, Tencent, who is this giant Chinese gaming company that is a majority owner of Riot Games.
…of Kings. And now for people who don't know, especially if you, I mean, if you don't live in China, honor of Kings is gigantic.
Every settled listing
newest first · 17 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | China / Chinese |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | 45 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | 19 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | 38 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | 43 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 5, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 29, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 22, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 8, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jul 1, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 10, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 27, 2026 | China / Chinese | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “China / Chinese” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on Lemonade Stand in 16 of 17 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (94%), most recently on Oct 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “China / Chinese” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 88%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP