What is the probability Candace Owens says “Erika (5+ times)” next time?

81%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Candace Owens say “Erika” 5+ times?

Name: Candace Owens: “Erika (5+ times)” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Candace Owens said “Erika” 5+ times at 7 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 23, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 81% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

81%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 7 times
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 10:12 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Candace Owens

Erika (5+ times)

Probability: 81% · n=7
Settled: 7/7 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Candace Owens yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Candace Owens say during her show? · not listed

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What will Candace Owens and Hunter Biden say on Thursday? · not listed

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What will Candace Owens say during her livestream? · not listed

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