Will “Open source” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Open source” was said on All-In Podcast in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Open source
- Probability
- 71% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 4 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
and then every single open source model being hosted and Elon saying, hey, we'll just route you with our orchestration level to the best model,…
…just know photoshop there's like a bunch of others okay and these folks decompiled it distilled it and published open source versions of these things
Yes. I think the pace of model releases happening on both the open source side and the premium side, the Anthropics, Grox, OpenAIs of the…
…We'll let your winners ride. Rain Man David Sachs. And instead, we open source it to the fans and they've just gone crazy with it.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Open source |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Open Source | Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Open Source | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Open source” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Open source” was said on All-In Podcast in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 24, 2026.
- What is the probability “Open source” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Open source’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/open-source (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=open%20source · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP