Will “Department of War” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Department of War” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Department of War
- Probability
- 66% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Department of War |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Department of War | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Department of War” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Department of War” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Department of War” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Department of War’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/department-of-war (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=department%20of%20war · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP