Will “China” be said 3+ times on All-In Podcast next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “China” was said 3+ times on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 12, 2025.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, anyone) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All-In Podcast

China 3+ times

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 0 of 4

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledAll-In Podcast, September 25, 2026 · Sep 25, 2026 · 56:30In transcript

…then we're going to turn that off. And then meanwhile, you've got China saying, come over here, come and see what it's like over here,…

Speaker not labelledAll-In Podcast, September 11, 2026 · Sep 11, 2026 · 16:47In transcript

…$15 billion. The cost in France is four, and the cost in China is one. I think we're in this hysteria phase of AI dumerism.…

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 16) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 18) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 11) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 4) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 31) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Dec 12, 2025China 3+ timesPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “China 3+ times” said on All-In Podcast?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “China” was said 3+ times on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 12, 2025.
What is the probability “China 3+ times” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
60%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘China 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/china-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=china%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP