Will “Dario / Amodei” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Dario / Amodei” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Dario / Amodei
- Probability
- 66% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I don't think that's right. I think Dario's written about the idea that the super intelligence can almost be supreme to humanity. And we need…
…people sort of feel this, you know, like this week you had Dario and Sam go to the United Nations and say we need some…
And that is what Dario himself is called for. Again, it's an FDAI, which invariably they will control. and they will basically then be able…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Dario / Amodei |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Dario / Amodei | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Dario / Amodei” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Dario / Amodei” was said on All-In Podcast in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Dario / Amodei” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Dario / Amodei’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/amodei-or-dario (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=amodei%20%2F%20dario · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP