Will “Corrupt / Corruption / Crook” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Corrupt / Corruption / Crook” was said on The Last Word in 2 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 19, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1 of them.

36%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption%20%2F%20crook

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Corrupt / Corruption / Crook

Probability
36% · n=6
Settled
2/6 (33%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 1 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

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What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Mark Kellyguest33:03In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 15, 2026Corrupt / Corruption / CrookKalshiNo0
Sep 30, 2026Corrupt / Corruption / CrookKalshiNo0
Sep 22, 2026Corrupt / Corruption / CrookKalshiNo0
Sep 21, 2026Corrupt / Corruption / CrookKalshiYes1
Sep 14, 2026Corrupt / Corruption / CrookKalshiYes2
Aug 19, 2026Corrupt / Corruption / CrookKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Corrupt / Corruption / Crook” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Corrupt / Corruption / Crook” was said on The Last Word in 2 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 19, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Corrupt / Corruption / Crook” is said on The Last Word next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Corrupt / Corruption / Crook’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/corrupt-or-corruption-or-crook (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption%20%2F%20crook · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP