Will “Obama” be said on The Briefing next time?

As of Oct 23, 2026, “Obama” was said on The Briefing in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the 1 latest transcripts we have (8 episodes), it reached the market's count 0 times.

43%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Briefing with Jen Psaki

Obama

Probability
43% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Latest transcripts
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Amy Klobuchar say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Sherrod Brown say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Josh Shapiro say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will JB Pritzker say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not said

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What will Troy Jackson say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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What will Josh Turek say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 8, 2026ObamaKalshiNo0
Jun 18, 2026ObamaKalshiYes–
Jun 11, 2026ObamaKalshiNo–
Apr 9, 2026ObamaKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Obama” said on The Briefing?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Obama” was said on The Briefing in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 9, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 18, 2026.
What is the probability “Obama” is said on The Briefing next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Obama’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/obama (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=obama · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP