Will “Democrat” be said on The Briefing next time?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Democrat” was not said on The Briefing in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 8, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

38%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Briefing with Jen Psaki

Democrat

Probability
38% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Wes MooreguestThe Briefing with Jen Psaki (MS NOW), September 22, 2026 · Sep 22, 2026 · 19:10In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Amy Klobuchar say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Wes Moore say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Josh Shapiro say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will JB Pritzker say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Troy Jackson say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Josh Turek say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 16, 2026DemocratKalshiNo0
Aug 17, 2026DemocratKalshiNo–
Aug 12, 2026DemocratKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Democrat” said on The Briefing?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Democrat” was not said on The Briefing in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 12, 2026.
What is the probability “Democrat” is said on The Briefing next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP