Will “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” be said on The Briefing next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” was said on The Briefing in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Briefing with Jen Psaki
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional
- Probability
- 42% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Constitutional / Constitution / Unconstitutional | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” said on The Briefing?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” was said on The Briefing in 2 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 20, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 17, 2026.
- What is the probability “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” is said on The Briefing next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Briefing: ‘Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-briefing-with-jen-psaki/words/constitution-or-constitutional-or-unconstitutional (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=constitution%20%2F%20constitutional%20%2F%20unconstitutional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-briefing-with-jen-psaki&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP