Will “Supreme Court” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Supreme Court” did not appear on the NYT front page on the only day with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 4, 2026.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe New York Times (front page)
Supreme Court
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 front pages
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Supreme Court Again Blocks G.O.P.-Backed Missouri Map
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Supreme Court |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does “Supreme Court” appear on the NYT front page?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Supreme Court” did not appear on the NYT front page on the only day with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 4, 2026.
- What is the probability “Supreme Court” appears on the NYT front page next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP