Will “Justice / Judge” appear on the next NYT front page?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Justice / Judge” appeared on the NYT front page on 2 of 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 8.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceThe New York Times (front page)
Justice / Judge
- Probability
- 56% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 front pages
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
2 counted.
Justice Dept. Is Looking for an Antitrust Case
Many Migrant Children Are Left to Answer Judges Alone
Counts: anyone
3 counted.
Justices Brace For Disputes From Election
Justices Tangle in Climate Case
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Justice / Judge |  Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Justice / Judge | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does “Justice / Judge” appear on the NYT front page?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Justice / Judge” appeared on the NYT front page on 2 of 2 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 11, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 12, 2026.
- What is the probability “Justice / Judge” appears on the NYT front page next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Justice / Judge’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/judge-or-justice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=judge%20%2F%20justice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP