Will “Iran / Iranian” be said on NewsNation next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran / Iranian” was not said on NewsNation in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
33%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
NewsNation
Iran / Iranian
- Probability
- 33% · n=3
- Settled
- 0/3 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for NewsNation yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Iran / Iranian |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Iran / Iranian” said on NewsNation?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran / Iranian” was not said on NewsNation in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran / Iranian” is said on NewsNation next time?
- 33%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “NewsNation: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/newsnation/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=newsnation&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=newsnation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP