NewsNation: Episode, Jan 28, 2026
Kalshi What will Ben Shapiro say during Katie Pavlich Tonight?
Markets
15 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noem / Homan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Antisemitism / Antisemitic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Candace / Owens | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Daily Wire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fact / Feeling | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hypothetically | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Justify / Justified | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Second Amendment / Constitution | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walz / Frey | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXNEWSNATIONMENTION-26JAN28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP