Will “Ghislaine / Maxwell” be said on NewsNation next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ghislaine / Maxwell” was said on NewsNation in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

34%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NewsNation

Ghislaine / Maxwell

Probability
34% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for NewsNation yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 20, 2026Ghislaine / MaxwellKalshiYes
Feb 27, 2026Ghislaine / MaxwellKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Ghislaine / Maxwell” said on NewsNation?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ghislaine / Maxwell” was said on NewsNation in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 20, 2026.
What is the probability “Ghislaine / Maxwell” is said on NewsNation next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “NewsNation: ‘Ghislaine / Maxwell’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/newsnation/words/ghislaine-or-maxwell (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=newsnation&word=ghislaine%20%2F%20maxwell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=newsnation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP