Will “Democrat” be said on NewsNation next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democrat” was said on NewsNation in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

35%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NewsNation

Democrat

Probability
35% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for NewsNation yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Kash Patel & Todd Blanche say during Katie Pavlich Tonight? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during Katie Pavlich Tonight? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will George Santos say during his Newsmax interview? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Todd Blanche say during his NewsNation interview? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will James Comer say during his NewsNation interview? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Mention: Geraldo Rivera on NewsNation · not listed

Open the appearance

What will RFK say during his NewsNation interview? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Ben Shapiro say during Katie Pavlich Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 4, 2026DemocratKalshiYes
Apr 23, 2026DemocratKalshiNo
Apr 13, 2026DemocratKalshiYes
Feb 27, 2026DemocratKalshiYes
Feb 3, 2026DemocratKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Democrat” said on NewsNation?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democrat” was said on NewsNation in 3 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 3, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026.
What is the probability “Democrat” is said on NewsNation next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “NewsNation: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/newsnation/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=newsnation&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=newsnation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP