Will “Republican” be said on All In next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Republican” was said on All In in 7 of 7 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 58% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

58%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 7 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All In with Chris Hayes

Republican

Probability
58% · n=7
Settled
7/7 (100%)
Last 7 episodes
said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jamie Raskin say during All In with Chris Hayes? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 38 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jamie Raskinguest29:24In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Chris Murphy (video dispatch)other35:06In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Andy Beshear say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during All In with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Beto O'Rourke say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Elizabeth Warren say during All in with Chris Hayes? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mamdani say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 6, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes1
Sep 23, 2026RepublicanKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Aug 20, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
Jun 22, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
Jun 4, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
May 27, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
May 21, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–
May 19, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Republican” said on All In?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Republican” was said on All In in 7 of 7 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
What is the probability “Republican” is said on All In next time?
58%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP