All In with Chris Hayes: Episode, Jun 4, 2026
Kalshi What will Graham Platner say during All in with Chris Hayes?
Markets
14 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Yes | 64%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Military / Marine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nazi / Tattoo | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Text / Texted | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare / Childcare | Yes | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bernie / Sanders | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| New York Times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| PAC / AIPAC | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| PTSD | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 49%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXALLINMENTION-26JUN04 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP