All In with Chris Hayes: Episode, May 27, 2026
Kalshi What will James Clyburn say during All in with Chris Hayes?
Markets
11 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Election | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 60%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Governor / McMaster | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Senate / Senator | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Midterm | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Racism / Racist / Racial | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXALLINMENTION-26MAY27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP