60 Minutes
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 144 word markets on 60 Minutes since 2025, on 122 different words.
History Wall
1–40 of 127, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Nov 2 ’25episode | Nov 3episode | Nov 30episode | Dec 8episode | Feb 16 ’26episode | Mar 2episode | Mar 9episode | May 17latest | Last 8 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoinevery time | Settled yes: Crypto / Bitcoin, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Crypto / Bitcoin, Nov 3 episode | Settled yes: Crypto / Bitcoin, Nov 30 episode | Settled yes: Crypto / Bitcoin, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Crypto / Bitcoin, May 17 episode | 4/4100% | 4/4100% | 36%n=4 from settlement history |
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Nov 3 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Trump, Dec 8 episode | Settled no: Trump, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Trump, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Trump, May 17 episode | 3/475% | 3/475% | 36%n=4 from settlement history |
| Democrat | Not listed: Democrat, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Democrat, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Democrat, Nov 30 episode | Settled yes: Democrat, Dec 8 episode | Settled no: Democrat, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Democrat, Mar 2 episode | Settled no: Democrat, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Democrat, May 17 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | 35%n=3 from settlement history |
| Israel / Israeli | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Settled yes: Israel / Israeli, Mar 2 episode | Settled yes: Israel / Israeli, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, May 17 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 36%n=2 from settlement history |
| Nuclear | Not listed: Nuclear, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Settled yes: Nuclear, Mar 2 episode | Settled yes: Nuclear, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Nuclear, May 17 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 36%n=2 from settlement history |
| America First | Not listed: America First, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: America First, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: America First, Nov 30 episode | Settled yes: America First, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: America First, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: America First, Mar 2 episode | Settled no: America First, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: America First, May 17 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Biden | Not listed: Biden, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Biden, Nov 3 episode | Settled no: Biden, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Biden, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Biden, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Biden, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Biden, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Biden, May 17 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 30%n=2 from settlement history |
| Healthcare | Not listed: Healthcare, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Healthcare, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Dec 8 episode | Settled no: Healthcare, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, May 17 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Ballroom | Settled no: Ballroom, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Ballroom, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Ballroom, May 17 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Charlie / Turning Point | Not listed: Charlie / Turning Point, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Charlie / Turning Point, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Charlie / Turning Point, Nov 30 episode | Settled no: Charlie / Turning Point, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Charlie / Turning Point, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Charlie / Turning Point, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Charlie / Turning Point, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Charlie / Turning Point, May 17 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Hottest | Settled no: Hottest, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Hottest, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Hottest, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Hottest, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Hottest, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Hottest, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Hottest, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Hottest, May 17 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Kamala | Settled no: Kamala, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled no: Kamala, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Kamala, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Kamala, May 17 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | 35%n=2 from settlement history |
| Actor / Cast | Not listed: Actor / Cast, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Actor / Cast, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Actor / Cast, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Actor / Cast, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Actor / Cast, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Actor / Cast, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Actor / Cast, Mar 9 episode | Settled yes: Actor / Cast, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Nov 30 episode | Settled yes: Affordable / Affordability, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Dec 8 episode | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Biden5+ times | Settled yes: Biden 5+ times, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Biden 5+ times, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Biden 5+ times, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Biden 5+ times, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Biden 5+ times, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Biden 5+ times, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Biden 5+ times, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Biden 5+ times, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Border | Not listed: Border, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Border, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Border, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Border, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Border, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Border, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Border, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Border, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Civilian | Not listed: Civilian, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Civilian, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Civilian, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Civilian, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Civilian, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Civilian, Mar 2 episode | Settled yes: Civilian, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Civilian, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Democracy | Not listed: Democracy, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Settled yes: Democracy, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Democracy, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election3+ times | Not listed: Election 3+ times, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Election 3+ times, Nov 3 episode | Settled yes: Election 3+ times, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Election 3+ times, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Election 3+ times, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Election 3+ times, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Election 3+ times, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Election 3+ times, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Epstein | Not listed: Epstein, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Nov 30 episode | Settled yes: Epstein, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Epstein, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Freedom | Not listed: Freedom, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Freedom, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Freedom, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Freedom, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Freedom, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Settled yes: Freedom, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Freedom, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Freedom, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Georgia | Not listed: Georgia, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Georgia, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Georgia, Nov 30 episode | Settled yes: Georgia, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Georgia, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Georgia, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Georgia, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Georgia, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iraq | Not listed: Iraq, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Iraq, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Iraq, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Iraq, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Iraq, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Iraq, Mar 2 episode | Settled yes: Iraq, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Iraq, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Israel | Not listed: Israel, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Israel, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Israel, Nov 30 episode | Settled yes: Israel, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Israel, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Israel, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Israel, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Israel, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Nov 30 episode | Settled yes: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: MAGA / Make America Great Again, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Midnight Hammer | Not listed: Midnight Hammer, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Midnight Hammer, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Midnight Hammer, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Midnight Hammer, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Midnight Hammer, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Midnight Hammer, Mar 2 episode | Settled yes: Midnight Hammer, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Midnight Hammer, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Nuclear2+ times | Settled yes: Nuclear 2+ times, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Nuclear 2+ times, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Nuclear 2+ times, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Nuclear 2+ times, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Nuclear 2+ times, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Nuclear 2+ times, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Nuclear 2+ times, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Nuclear 2+ times, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Obese / Obesity | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Dec 8 episode | Settled yes: Obese / Obesity, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Obese / Obesity, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Mar 2 episode | Settled yes: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Odyssey | Not listed: Odyssey, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Odyssey, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Odyssey, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Odyssey, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Odyssey, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Odyssey, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Odyssey, Mar 9 episode | Settled yes: Odyssey, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Polymarket2+ times | Not listed: Polymarket 2+ times, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 2+ times, Nov 3 episode | Settled yes: Polymarket 2+ times, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 2+ times, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 2+ times, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 2+ times, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 2+ times, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 2+ times, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Polymarket5+ times | Not listed: Polymarket 5+ times, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 5+ times, Nov 3 episode | Settled yes: Polymarket 5+ times, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 5+ times, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 5+ times, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 5+ times, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 5+ times, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Polymarket 5+ times, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Putin | Not listed: Putin, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Putin, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Putin, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Putin, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Putin, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Putin, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Putin, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Putin, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Revolution | Not listed: Revolution, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Revolution, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Revolution, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Revolution, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Revolution, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Settled yes: Revolution, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Revolution, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Revolution, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Schumer | Not listed: Schumer, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Schumer, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Schumer, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Schumer, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Schumer, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Schumer, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Schumer, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Schumer, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff | Not listed: Tariff, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Tariff, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Tariff, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Traitor | Not listed: Traitor, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Traitor, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Traitor, Nov 30 episode | Settled yes: Traitor, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Traitor, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Traitor, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Traitor, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Traitor, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Transition / Transitional | Not listed: Transition / Transitional, Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Transition / Transitional, Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Transition / Transitional, Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Transition / Transitional, Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Transition / Transitional, Feb 16 ’26 episode | Settled yes: Transition / Transitional, Mar 2 episode | Not listed: Transition / Transitional, Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Transition / Transitional, May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump5+ times | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Nov 2 ’25 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Nov 3 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Nov 30 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Dec 8 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Feb 16 ’26 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), Mar 2 episode | Settled yes: Trump (5+ times), Mar 9 episode | Not listed: Trump (5+ times), May 17 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 8Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Christopher Nolan say during 60 Minutes? | no transcript | 15 | 2 yes · 13 no | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Pete Hegseth say during his 60 Minutes interview? | no transcript | 19 | 7 yes · 12 no | – |
| Mar 2, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Reza Pahlavi say during 60 Minutes? | no transcript | 12 | 7 yes · 5 no | – |
| Feb 16, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will RFK say on 60 Minutes? | no transcript | 17 | 3 yes · 14 no | – |
| Dec 8, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Marjorie Taylor Greene say on 60 Minutes? | no transcript | 16 | 9 yes · 7 no | – |
| Nov 30, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Shayne say during 60 Minutes? | no transcript | 19 | 6 yes · 13 no | – |
| Nov 3, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Trump say during his interview on 60 Minutes? | no transcript | 23 | 8 yes · 15 no | – |
| Nov 2, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Trump say during "60 Minutes" on November 2? | no transcript | 25 | 3 yes · 21 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “60 Minutes: mention market word history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/60-minutes (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/60-minutes · words: /api/v1/history?entity=60-minutes · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP